Showing posts with label Sweet Action. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sweet Action. Show all posts

Sweet Action: Week 6, Could this be it?

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.


For the second week in a row I've hit on exactly zero bets.  It's only week 6 and things are pretty grim.  The Rams not only failed to cover against Lions, it's debatable if they even got off the plane.   The Chargers fell to the Raiders and the Saints seem to have more problems every week after taking it on the chin in Arizona.  Out of three parlays last week exactly 1 team from each lost leaving only $30.97 left to gamble with.  Could it be? The end? After just 6 weeks?  One bet will decide my fate.  Everything is on the line in a 4-team teaser which includes 2 dogs that should win, a team that can cover, and favorite to win.

The Bet:

Bet #26: 4 Team Teaser

  • Baltimore Ravens +10 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New England Patriots
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +10 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(218) Philadelphia Eagles
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Detroit Lions +17 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New York Giants
    Teased 7.0 points
  • New York Jets +3½ Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
    Teased 7.0 points

Risk US$ 30.97 to win US$ 61.94

Sweet Action: Stop the bleeding in Week 5

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.


Instead of listening to me, you might be better off investing sub-prime mortgages.  You'd lose less money and have a chance to get bailed out by the government. Following me will just lead you into going 0-6 and turn what was 20% of winnings on the season into a %40 loss.  I was wary of relying on so many favored teams in week 4 and as it turns out, I should have just taken a bye week.   The Titans struggled against another 3-4 defense, Peyton couldn't overcome a pitiful Colt's defense, Cincinnati never led against the Browns, and the Bears decided to take a week off from pass blocking.

With the account down to a mere $60.97 I'm looking for redemption this week. Or at least around $40 in winnings so I can take a deep breath and re-set for Week 6.  The Falcons and Saint should both roll to victory over vastly inferior opponents and I don't think the addition of Randy Moss will be enough for the Vikings this week against the Jets.  The Titans and Rams are dogs against teams with losing records, while they may not win I expect both to keep their respective games close.

$30 is on the line to win $52.07 in Week 5.  Check out the entire season of wagers, payouts and losses here.

The Bets


Bet #23: 3 Team Teaser

  • St. Louis Rams +10 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(418) Detroit Lions
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +4 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(420) Cleveland Browns
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Tennessee Titans +14 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor:(434) Dallas Cowboys
    Teased 7.0 points

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 14.00



Bet #24: 3 Team Parlay
  • Baltimore Ravens -320 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(411) Denver Broncos
  • San Diego Chargers -270 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor:(432) Oakland Raiders
  • New York Jets -4 (-115) Mon@8:35p
    Competitor:(437) Minnesota Vikings

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 23.63



Bet #25: 2 Team Parlay
  • Atlanta Falcons -3 (-120) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(420) Cleveland Browns
  • New Orleans Saints -300 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor:(430) Arizona Cardinals

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 14.44

Sweet Action: Parlay The Money Line In Week 4

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

I looked over the games again and again.  Every time through I thought to myself, "damn, a lot of heavy favorites this week".  Only the Bears going up against the Giants feels like a game one can be confident in the dog.  The Broncos can't run and are throwing the ball 57 times a game. Beating Washington didn't really prove anything about St. Louis.  Buffalo on top of being being terrible cut their Week 1 starter.  Jacksonville's defense will get owned by Peyton Manning.  Arizona, Cleveland, San Francisco and Washington aren't worth a look.  Detroit and Carolina are +14 and it's possible both should be higher.  Oakland's game is boxed and the Pittsburgh-Baltimore and New England-Miami games are too close to call.

I should be happy things look so obvious, right?  The problem is there are always upsets to be found.  Rarely do favored teams make it though each week in big numbers.  Anytime I look down and find all my bets heavy with favorites I cringe.  But it's favorites I will roll with this week, six of them, with Chicago as the only dog in the lineup.  One big 7-team parlay will try to shoot the moon, then 5 more parlays organized to mitigate the risk.

In Week 4, $60 is wagered to win $197.48.


Check out the entire season of wagers, payouts and losses here.



The Bets

Bet #17: 3 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 13.49


Bet #18: 3 Team Parlay
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 16.32


Bet #19: 3 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Cincinnati Bengals -150 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 21.00


Bet #20: 3 Team Parlay
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 32.97



Bet #21: 3 Team Parlay
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(209) San Francisco 49ers
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 34.57


Bet #22: 7 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Cincinnati Bengals -150 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 79.13

Sweet Action: Week 3 Recap

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.


Damn you Houston!  It's official, I'm done with teams from Texas.  All is not lost though, bets #15 and #16 made it through resulting in... wait for it... you are going to be impressed.... a week generating $12.31 in winnings.  Call my boss, tell him I'm not coming in tomorrow, the next day, or ever again.  I plan on living out the rest of my days betting on the NFL.  Tomorrow eleven of my closest friends and I are going out and I'm treating everyone to one scrumptious item off the delicious dollar menu at McDonalds. Victory is mine!

Kidding aside, the motto is to have fun, survive, hit big, repeat.  Unfortunately the first three weeks have been all about surviving and no big opportunities have hit just yet.  As long as the safe bets cover the risky bets you can stay alive another week, hope to hit the big one and keep moving slowly in the right direction.  At least that is what I tell myself.

Ending account total: $120.97.  Check out all the bets and statistics here.

Sweet Action: Looking to double up in Week #3

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin's will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

Last week ended up in the red but overall I'm hanging on to $8.66 in winnings.  Actually, I think "up over 8% on the year" sounds a lot better, so lets go with that.  This week I'm risking $50 to win $111.39 in an effort to get the account over $200.

TeamReason

Bengals

This game will showcase two teams heading in opposite directions. Last week, the Bengals did not score a touchdown but were still able to beat the Ravens by forcing Flacco into 4 INTs.  A vast improvement over the dud they laid in week one against the Patriots.  The offense has yet to click with the addition of Owens but this may be the week it happens.

Carolina is searching for answers after falling apart in the second half against the Giants then struggling against the Buccaneers. Clausen will get his first start for the Panthers today but don't expect any miracles.  Even if the Bengals don't find their grove on offense, their defense will be enough to win.

Action: -3 in parlay

Steelers

The story for Pittsburgh doesn't change, if their defense plays well they always have a chance to win.  The Steelers started the season facing off against two of the best running teams in the NFL, the Falcons and the Titans.  Neither team could manage more than 58 yards on the ground.  Don't expect Cadillac Williams to break that trend, especially with Casey Hampton coming back at nose tackle this week.  Tampa Bay will have to rely on Josh Freeman to pick apart the the Steelers defense though the air.  Good luck with that.

Action: -3 in parlay

Texans

Could it be? The Cowboys end the week at 0-3? Yes, and at the hand of their in-state "rival" the Texans.  The Cowboys YET AGAIN are "among the leagues biggest disappointments."  When does it turn from being a disappointment to just being a mediocre football team? Houston's offense is hitting on all cylinders and was able to rally against the Redskins scoring 17 unanswered points in the second half to push the game to OT, where they won.

The Texans started the year by beating one of the AFC's perennial best then showed they can overcome adversity in week 2.  The Cowboys have showed for 2 weeks that they are a big disappointment.  Even without their starting left tackle Duane Brown expect the Texans to be able to move the ball at will.


Action: -3 in parlay

Colts

Champ Bailey was seen on crutches the same week that Colts are coming to town.  That is not good news if your a Broncos fan.  Oh, and Andre Goodman is also listed a questionable.  Their backups? All rookies.  Let the Peyton Manning smack-down begin.

Action: Money Line -250 in parlay

Lions

I'm going to say it, I think the Lions have a shot to win this game.  Even with Shaun Hill at QB the Lions have been playing better football this season than the Vikings.  Something is off with the Vikings, maybe it's the injuries, maybe it's Favre, maybe it's Adrian Peterson getting stood up on 4th and goal.

The Lions should have won against the Bears and rallied to within 3 points of the Eagles.  Even if they lose this week it won't be by 11.

Action: +11 in parlay
Falcons, Titans, Raiders, CheifsIt's a toss up if any of these teams will win, but all should be able to keep their respective games close.  Whenever a few close game present themselves look to tease the dog as much as you can.

Action: Teased


The Bets

Bet #13: 3 Team Parlay

  • Detroit Lions +11 (-105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
  • Houston Texans -3 (+105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Dallas Cowboys
  • Indianapolis Colts -250 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 46.03


Bet #14: 2 Team Parlay

  • Houston Texans -3 (+105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Dallas Cowboys
  • Indianapolis Colts -250 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos

Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 28.05


Bet #15: 2 Team Parlay

  • Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (EVEN) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-135) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Bought 0.5 points

Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 24.81


Bet #16: 4 Team Teaser

  • Tennessee Titans +16 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New York Giants
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +16½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New Orleans Saints
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Kansas City Chiefs +16 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Oakland Raiders +17½ Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 13.0 points

Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 12.50

Sweet Action: Week 2 Recap

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

A bit late this week posting the recap.  Won't bore you with why, so here we go.  Week #2 did not go as planned ending in a $12 loss.  The Saints had trouble with the wind in San Francisco, I'm an idiot for betting on the Cowboys to do anything right, and Seattle found a way to lose by more than 16.5 points.  Only one bet made it though this week, but it was enough to keep the losses to a minimum.  Should have put a lot more on Green Bay and Atlanta.

Check out all of the wagers, payouts and losses here.


Bet #6: 3 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -7 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons Pick Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 7.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints +1 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 7.0 point
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 28.00


Bet #7: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -8 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(209) Buffalo Bills
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Dallas Cowboys -1½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 6.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints Pick Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 60.00


Bet #8: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +19 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tennessee Titans
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +6 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Seattle Seahawks +16½ Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
    Teased 13.0 points
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 12.50




Bet #9: 8 Team Parlay
  • Kansas City Chiefs +3 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Philadelphia Eagles -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Detroit Lions
  • Dallas Cowboys -350 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
  • Carolina Panthers -180 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Atlanta Falcons -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Minnesota Vikings -240 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots -165 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: New York Jets
  • New Orleans Saints -245 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 108.76

Sweet Action: Tease Me In Week 2

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin's will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

In Week #2 I'm relying heavily on heavily favored teams.  The problem with betting on big favorites is how to work around the point spreads.  The Packers for instance are -14 and forget about the Money Line because that has been taken off the boards.  So, what to do?

Enter the teaser.  Teasers for those that don't know require at least 2 teams and alter the point spread in your favor from 6 to 13 points.  If your willing to put 3 or 4 teams into a single bet the spreads and payouts allow you to stick to the teams you feel good about instead of trying to find an upset or take a chance on a game you feel will be too close to call.

Along with the teasers this week is one parlay.  It's a long shot, and is the result of the guys picks for Week #2.  Count 'em, 11, thats right all the guys agreed on 11 picks this week.  That makes for a pretty boring NFL Picks blog, but could make for an exciting parlay.  I took 8 of those teams and put them into a small risk high reward parlay that could be the spark I need to really get this Sweet Action segment off the ground.  I'm not going to analyze every match-up in that wager but here are my reasons for the teams in my other three bets.

Total of $60 on the line to win $209.26

TeamReason

Packers

The Bills are terrible.  In their home opening 15-10 loss to the Dolphins they produced an NFL low 166 yards of offense, 38 of which was on the ground.  Now they head to Green Bay for the Packers home opener.

The Packers on the other hand not not terrible.  In fact they are pretty damn good and lived up to preseason hype by ending a 9 game losing streak in the city of Philadelphia.  Aaron Rodgers will have a big day and even without the services of Ryan Grant expect Green Bay to be able to run the ball all over Buffalo's defense.

Action: Teased 

Falcons

After a tough OT loss in Pittsburgh expect the Falcons to bounce back at home against the Cardinals.

The Cardinals barely got past a pesky Rams team lead by rookie QB Sam Bradford last week.  Bradford attempted 55 passes resulting in 253 yards, a TD and 3 INTs.  One INT was immediately lost when fumbled and the last INT was at the very end of the game.

Not only do the Falcons have a more seasoned QB in Matt Ryan they also won't have to rely on him throwing the ball 55 times.  Look for a heavy dose of Michael Turner to loosen up an already weak Arizona defense.


Action: Teased, Money Line

Saints


There is a theme this week.  Good teams playing bad teams.  The Saints proved they had not lost a step in their Thursday night opening win against the Vikings.  The 49ers on the other hand lost to a Seattle team that is rebuilding and trying their luck with a college coach at the helm.  

Don't expect the 49ers to bounce back this week.  Players in San Francisco are already complaining about the offensive play calling which has led to Mike Singletary on a wild 'rat' hunt. 

Action: Teased, Money Line

Cowboys

It always pains me to put money on any bet that has the Cowboys on the winning end, but this is more about Chicago.

If Calvin Johnson holds on to the ball for another half second the Bears are 0-1.  Chicago gave up 4 sacks in week 1 and were only able to put up 19 points at home against a Lions team that is still not very good.

Dallas is a better team than Detroit.  Their defense is better and their offense with the return of Marc Colombo and Kyle Kosier to the line is a lot better.  Plus, they are at home.  Add it all up and it's a win for the Cowgirls.

Action: Teased, Money Line
Steelers, SeahawksEvery now and then there are opportunities with teaser bets that allow you to cover a losing team with a huge point spread.  This week the Steelers and Seahawks fit that bill.  The Steelers are a great defensive team and rarely lose any game by more than a couple TDs.  The Seahawks travel to Denver to take on a Broncos team that had trouble with Jacksonville and appear to have no clear direction for the franchise at this point in time.  The Steelers and Seahawks may not win but being able to get them at +19 and +16.5 respectively is something I couldn't pass up.

Action: Teased


The Bets

Bet #6: 3 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -7 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons Pick Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 7.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints +1 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 7.0 point
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 28.00


Bet #7: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -8 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(209) Buffalo Bills
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Dallas Cowboys -1½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 6.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints Pick Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 60.00


Bet #8: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +19 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tennessee Titans
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +6 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Seattle Seahawks +16½ Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
    Teased 13.0 points
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 12.50


Bet #9: 8 Team Parlay
  • Kansas City Chiefs +3 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Philadelphia Eagles -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Detroit Lions
  • Dallas Cowboys -350 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
  • Carolina Panthers -180 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Atlanta Falcons -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Minnesota Vikings -240 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots -165 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: New York Jets
  • New Orleans Saints -245 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 108.76

Sweet Action: Week 1 Recap

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.


Ending the week with more money then you started it with is always a good thing.  Week 1 wagered $40 across 5 bets resulting in winnings of $20.66.  Not necessarily something to go around bragging about, but a win none the less and a good way to ease oneself into the the NFL season.

Check out all of the wagers, payouts and losses here.

Sweet Action: Baby steps in Week 1

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin's will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

The first week of the NFL season is always the hardest to judge.  Limited play from starters and simplified package sets dominate the pre-season leaving one to look at how a team ended the previous season and guess how roster moves will translate to on field performance. That's not to say you can't make informed decisions on which way games will go, but in a league that has a 50% turnover rate in playoff teams year-to-year it's does make the job a bit more difficult.

Now that I've made plenty of excuses for myself, on to the rest of my picks for Week 1.  Check out my first two bets here.  Bet #1 is still active and I'm hunting down Garrett Hartley to cover my losses on Bet #2.

I'm keeping the wagers light this week, after all I'm supposed to keep this blog segment going for most of the season.  The objective this week is to survive and hopefully crank up the wagers in weeks two and three.  Altogether I have $40 on the line to win $87.94.

Here are the teams I'm riding to victory:

TeamReason

Giants

The Giants are out for revenge.  On a late season skid, the Giants were dealing with injuries, poor linebacker play and questions at safety when the Panthers rolled out of the Meadowlands with a 41-9 victory.

Since then the Giants have added two Pro Bowlers Keith Bulluck and Antrel Rolle to sure up defensive holes.  Carolina on the other hand lost 5 starters on defense including the departure of Julis Peppers.

Look for the Giants to be active on the defensive line to stop the run and force Carolina to put the ball in the hands of Matt Moore.  Moore proved to be better than Delhomme last season but has not shown that he can take over a game.

The Giants may not cover the 7pt spread but they should still win the game.

Action: Money Line -265 

Cardinals

The Cardinals lost Kurt Warner to retirement, Antrel Rolle to the Giants and made the right decision in cutting Matt Leinart.

Although it's to be seen if Derek Anderson can recapture his magic from 2007 and if Joey Porter will help out a defense that struggled in the playoffs, the Cardinals are a better team than the Rams.

The Rams who will be starting rookie QB Sam Bradford are looking to have a season similar to Detroit's first season with Matt Stafford.  With Donnie Avery out the Rams did acquire Mark Clayton from the Ravens, but it won't be enough, by a long shot.

Action: Money Line -200

Packers

The Packers have everything going for them this year and are legitimate Superbowl contenders.

The Eagles sent McNabb to Washington and are sticking to their 'staying young' personnel philosophy.  The real problem is that the Eagles O-line is already banged up.  Center Jamall Jackson, LG Todd Herremans, and RG Nick Cole are all nursing injuries which will lead to a very long day for Kevin Klob.

Action: Money Line -150

Chargers

Even without Vincent Jackson and Marcus McNeill, Phillip Rivers and the Chargers have enough weapons to give the Chiefs fits.  On offense the Chiefs may be able to keep the game close but their D will have no answer for the high powered Chargers offense.

Action: Money Line -220


Colts

The Colts are still the team to beat in the AFC.  The Texans say this will be their year and point to what could be a weak O-line for the Colts.

I expect Jeff Saturday to play and that will be enough for the Colts to walk away with the victory.

Action: -2.5

Browns

This is the upset special of the week.  The Brows finished last season on a four game win streak.  Since then they got rid of Quinn and Anderson and added Delhome at QB.  Now we all know how terrible Delhomme was last year, but he doesn't need to be good to beat Josh Williams.  Jerome Harrison is the real deal at running back and should provide enough pop to open up the game in Cleveland's favor.

Action: Money Line +130




Bet #3: 2 Team Parlay
  • New York Giants -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
  • Arizona Cardinals -200 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 10.66



Bet #4: 3 Team Parlay 
  • Green Bay Packers -150 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Philadelphia Eagles
  • Arizona Cardinals -200 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
  • San Diego Chargers -220 Mon@10:15p
    Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 13.18


Bet #53 Team Parlay
  • New York Giants -260 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
  • Cleveland Browns +130 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Indianapolis Colts -2½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Houston Texans
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 25.40

Sweet Action: Who Dat?

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

The NFL season kicks off tonight with the Vikings traveling to New Orleans in a rematch of the NFC Championship game.  Last year the Vikings shot themselves in the foot turning the ball over on five occasions, the last by Brett Favre with seven seconds left in regulation.  The Saints got the ball to start overtime and the rest is history.

This year the Vikings head south without the services of Sidney Rice and Cedric Griffin.  There are also plenty of questions surrounding Brett Favre's ankle and his late arrival to camp.  Floundering around in the off-season and skipping most of pre-season has become business as usual for Favre, but this year there are no "warm-up" games.  Last year Favre had the benefit of starting the season against Cleveland and Detroit in weeks one and two.  The Saints, a team that appears to be as unified as ever after winning the Super Bowl last year, will be anything but a warm-up in week one.

The Vikings are in for a rude awakening tonight when they face a team that I believe will not be affected by a post-Super Bowl hangover.  Drew Brees and the Saints will roll past the Vikings and cover the 6 point spread.  

Since most of the action in week one will not start until Sunday I only have two smaller wagers on the line tonight.  One I've teased with teams I believe will win on Sunday and the second is a single bet on the Saints with the points.

Bet #1: 4 Team Teaser 
  • New Orleans Saints Pick Thu@8:30p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
    Teased 6.0 points
  • New York Giants -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Green Bay Packers +3 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Philadelphia Eagles
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Arizona Cardinals +2 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 30.00


Bet #2: Single
  • New Orleans Saints -6 (-115) Thu@8:30p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 8.70

Sweet Action: Kevin's NFL 2010/2011 Metrics

Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much money as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season and if the account ever hits $0 Kevin will have to pack it in and admit defeat.

This post will be updated each week reflecting Kevin's cash holdings.

Read the 'Sweet Action' posts or scroll down to view all of Kevin's bets.







The Bets



Week 4

Bet #17: 3 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 13.49




Bet #18: 3 Team Parlay
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 16.32




Bet #19: 3 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Cincinnati Bengals -150 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 21.00




Bet #20: 3 Team Parlay
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 32.97






Bet #21: 3 Team Parlay
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(209) San Francisco 49ers
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 34.57




Bet #22: 7 Team Parlay
  • Tennessee Titans -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
  • Cincinnati Bengals -150 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Atlanta Falcons -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
  • New York Jets -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
  • Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Jacksonville Jaguars
  • San Diego Chargers -500 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Chicago Bears +160 Sun@8:20p
    Competitor: New York Giants
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 79.13



Week 3
Bet #13: 3 Team Parlay
  • Detroit Lions +11 (-105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
  • Houston Texans -3 (+105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Dallas Cowboys
  • Indianapolis Colts -250 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 46.03


Bet #14: 2 Team Parlay
  • Houston Texans -3 (+105) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Dallas Cowboys
  • Indianapolis Colts -250 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 28.05


Bet #15: 2 Team Parlay
  • Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (EVEN) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-135) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Bought 0.5 points
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 24.81


Bet #16: 4 Team Teaser
  • Tennessee Titans +16 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New York Giants
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +16½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New Orleans Saints
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Kansas City Chiefs +16 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Oakland Raiders +17½ Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 13.0 points
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 12.50



Week 2
Bet #6: 3 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -7 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 7.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons Pick Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 7.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints +1 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 7.0 point
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 28.00


Bet #7: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -8 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(209) Buffalo Bills
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Dallas Cowboys -1½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 6.0 points
  • New Orleans Saints Pick Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 20.00 to win US$ 60.00



Bet #8: 4 Team Teaser
  • Green Bay Packers -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Buffalo Bills
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +19 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tennessee Titans
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Atlanta Falcons +6 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
    Teased 13.0 points
  • Seattle Seahawks +16½ Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Denver Broncos
    Teased 13.0 points
Risk US$ 15.00 to win US$ 12.50




Bet #9: 8 Team Parlay
  • Kansas City Chiefs +3 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Cleveland Browns
  • Philadelphia Eagles -280 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Detroit Lions
  • Dallas Cowboys -350 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears
  • Carolina Panthers -180 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Atlanta Falcons -270 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Arizona Cardinals
  • Minnesota Vikings -240 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Miami Dolphins
  • New England Patriots -165 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: New York Jets
  • New Orleans Saints -245 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: San Francisco 49ers
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 108.76


Week 1

Bet #1: 4 Team Teaser 
  • New Orleans Saints Pick Thu@8:30p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
    Teased 6.0 points
  • New York Giants -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Green Bay Packers +3 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Philadelphia Eagles
    Teased 6.0 points
  • Arizona Cardinals +2 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 30.00



Bet #2: Single
  • New Orleans Saints -6 (-115) Thu@8:30p
    Competitor: Minnesota Vikings
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 8.70


Bet #3: 
2 Team Parlay

  • New York Giants -265 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
  • Arizona Cardinals -200 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 10.66



Bet #4: 3 Team Parlay 
  • Green Bay Packers -150 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: Philadelphia Eagles
  • Arizona Cardinals -200 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: St. Louis Rams
  • San Diego Chargers -220 Mon@10:15p
    Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 13.18


Bet #53 Team Parlay

  • New York Giants -260 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
  • Cleveland Browns +130 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Indianapolis Colts -2½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Houston Texans
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 25.40

Sweet Action: An early start with Maryland vs. Navy

Normally, I do not bet on college football. Normally, I do not bet on games that involve teams I root for. Today however, I break both of those rules because I found $36.33 I didn’t know I had.

Every year I set aside $100 for betting on NFL games with hopes I’ll have some extra coin in my pocket by the time January rolls around. Some years go better than others and if I hit the $0 mark in week 9, like last year, I pack it in and wait to try again next season.

Today I logged in to deposit $100 for another NFL season when I noticed something, I had $36.33 allocated to poker chips. Poker Chips? I can’t remember the last time I even thought about playing poker. I had forgotten a while back a friend had tried to get me in to Texas Hold’em convincing me to cough up $20 to play online because “playing for free won’t teach you anything.” I anted up for couple weeks got lucky on a few hands and ended my Texas Hold’em career with $36.33. $36.33 I’d forget about for one reason or another until today. It’s kind of like reaching into a pocket of a freshly washed pair of jeans and pulling out some cash, a little present you left yourself to find at a later date.

Now I was presented with the question of what to do with my new found ‘wealth’. The sensible and financially responsible course of action would be to appreciate the find and consider only having to transfer in $74 this year a win. But you know where this is going. Why transfer in $74 when you can transfer in $0? Where could someone wager approximately $36 in order to win approximately $74? Look no further than my own alma mater, +210 on the money line against the Navy Midshipmen in the newly created Crab Bowl. A bet of $36.33 to win $76.29, are the stars aligning here or what?!?

Just yesterday on our 85th edition of the D.C. Sports Guys I predicted a 24-20 victory for the Terps so why not back it up? I placed the bet and now have a little be more to root for when 4pm rolls around, this year’s Sweet Action segment could be all on the house.

Sweet Action: NFL Week 9


Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much as possible betting on NFL games. No funds can be added during the season. He will either lose it all or be smoking a victory cigar on February 7, 2010


Ugly, just ugly. After week 8 the account only has $30.03 left.  I'm getting this post, which could be the last Sweet Action of the year, up a bit late this week.  Week 9 will risk it all $30.03 to win $308.11.


Check out the metrics for the entire season here: http://www.dcsportsguys.com/2009/09/sweet-action-kevins-nfl-20092010.html

Bet #33: 4 Team Teaser 
  1. New Orleans Saints -7 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Teased 6.0 points

  2. Green Bay Packers -4½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Teased 6.0 points

  3. Indianapolis Colts -2½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor:(407) Houston Texans
    Teased 6.0 points

  4. Jacksonville Jaguars -1 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
    Teased 6.0 points
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 30.00




Bet #34: 5 Team Teaser 
  1. Seattle Seahawks -4 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor:(419) Detroit Lions
    Teased 7.0 points

  2. New Orleans Saints -6 Sun@4:05p
    Competitor: Carolina Panthers
    Teased 7.0 points

  3. Miami Dolphins +18 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: New England Patriots
    Teased 7.0 points

  4. Green Bay Packers -3½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Teased 7.0 points

  5. Indianapolis Colts -1½ Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Houston Texans
    Teased 7.0 points
Risk US$ 10.00 to win US$ 35.00



Bet #35: 7 Team Parlay
  1. Denver Broncos +130 Mon@8:35p
    Competitor: Pittsburgh Steelers

  2. San Diego Chargers +195 Sun@4:15p
    Competitor: New York Giants

  3. Arizona Cardinals +3 (-140) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Chicago Bears

  4. Green Bay Packers -550 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  5. Indianapolis Colts -380 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Houston Texans

  6. Cincinnati Bengals +3 (-115) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Baltimore Ravens

  7. Jacksonville Jaguars -320 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
Risk US$ 5.00 to win US$ 208.04



Bet #36: 3 Team Parlay 
  1. New Orleans Saints -13 (-105) Sun@4:05p
    Competitor:(417) Carolina Panthers

  2. Green Bay Packers -10 (-120) Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Bought 0.5 points

  3. Indianapolis Colts -8 Sun@1:00p
    Competitor: Houston Texans
Risk US$ 6.01 to win US$ 35.06