This post will be updated throughout the NFL season with the latest on how The D.C. Sports Guys weekly picks are favoring.
Read the NFL Picks blogs to view every pick by each of the guys.
Sweet Action: NFL Week 1 - UPDATED
Kevin, the host of the D.C. Sports Guys, will start the NFL season with $100 of his own money. The objective is simple: make as much as possible betting on NFL games. Kevin will not be allowed to add any funds during the season leaving the outcomes to be either a joyous celebration in February or a bitter somber defeat when all $100 are lost any time before then.
I was hoping to have a full block of bets by the time of this posting, but the place I wager with has not posted money lines for any games outside of the Steelers vs. Titans game. I normally don't wager on the point spread alone, but I feel Pittsburgh has a great chance to beat the Titans at home. With that in mind I decided to put together a couple 4 team 'Sweetheart Teasers'. A 'Sweetheart Teaser' is like a normal teaser but the point spread for each game is moved 13 points in your favor. The payout is only 83% of the risk, but it's week 1 and I'm trying to get some wins under my belt in order to make this $100 last an entire NFL season. As soon as the money lines are posted for the rest of the Sunday and Monday games I will update this post with those wagers.
UPDATED 9/12:
Money lines for the remaining games of week 1 were finally posted Friday night, allowing me to add three more bets to my portfolio. The five bets listed below risk a total of $60 in hopes of generating $181.99 in winnings. Bets #1, #2, and #4 are what I consider my safety nets while bets #3 and #5 are where I’m looking to win big. Throughout the bets you’ll notice a core grouping of picks that I’ve chosen to be the backbone of my betting strategy.
Bets #1 and #2 were built around Pittsburgh. I knew they would have a tough game against the Titans but being able to move the spread to +6.5 for the Steelers at home is almost a no brainer. The game was close, but I was never worried that the Titans would be able to pull out to, or keep, a 7 point lead. Once the game went to overtime, I had a smile on my face.
The rest of Bet #1 includes the Vikings, who should beat the Browns straight up, at +8.5, the Jets, who have never lost to the Texans, at +18 and the Redskins, who I rarely bet on, at +19.5. I make an exception for the Skins here because even if they play terrible (like they did in the opener last year when they lost by 9), they have a good enough defense to keep the game within a touchdown or two.
Bet #2 includes the heavily favored Ravens, Saints, and Seahawks and moves the point spreads to more reasonable numbers. All three of these teams should be able to handle their opponent easily but why count on a blow out when you have the option lower the risk.
The last three bets all include Cincinnati and Seattle. Carson Palmer is healthy and is no less than one thousand times better than Kyle Orton. Palmer will carve up Denver’s defense and will be the difference in the game. Seattle has gone though a coaching change, but has also got a healthy team again after suffering the loss of Hasselbeck, their entire starting offensive line and seven wide receivers in 2008. How they still won 4 games last year is a mystery. Wait… maybe it’s not… 2 of the 4 wins came from… you guessed it, the St. Louis Rams, who they open up against in Week 1.
Bet #3 looks to shoot the moon in a 7 team parlay. Basically this is my “would be nice if it happened” bet. The Dolphins are better than advertised and could give the Falcons fits in the Georgia Dome. The Jags split with the Colts last year where both games were decided by 7 points or less. San Diego gets to play the lowly Raiders and we’ve already talked about the Jets and the Vikings.
Bets #4 and #5 both include teams we’ve already talked about, just wagered on in different forms to cover a straight up or money line bet with a point spread or vice versa. None of these bets counter another bet. They only enhance the action in my favor.
Bet #1: 4 Team Sweetheart Teaser
Bet #2: 4 Team Sweetheart Teaser
Bet #3: 7 Team Parlay
Bet #4: 3 Team Parlay
Bet #5: 5 Team Teaser
I was hoping to have a full block of bets by the time of this posting, but the place I wager with has not posted money lines for any games outside of the Steelers vs. Titans game. I normally don't wager on the point spread alone, but I feel Pittsburgh has a great chance to beat the Titans at home. With that in mind I decided to put together a couple 4 team 'Sweetheart Teasers'. A 'Sweetheart Teaser' is like a normal teaser but the point spread for each game is moved 13 points in your favor. The payout is only 83% of the risk, but it's week 1 and I'm trying to get some wins under my belt in order to make this $100 last an entire NFL season. As soon as the money lines are posted for the rest of the Sunday and Monday games I will update this post with those wagers.
UPDATED 9/12:
Money lines for the remaining games of week 1 were finally posted Friday night, allowing me to add three more bets to my portfolio. The five bets listed below risk a total of $60 in hopes of generating $181.99 in winnings. Bets #1, #2, and #4 are what I consider my safety nets while bets #3 and #5 are where I’m looking to win big. Throughout the bets you’ll notice a core grouping of picks that I’ve chosen to be the backbone of my betting strategy.
Bets #1 and #2 were built around Pittsburgh. I knew they would have a tough game against the Titans but being able to move the spread to +6.5 for the Steelers at home is almost a no brainer. The game was close, but I was never worried that the Titans would be able to pull out to, or keep, a 7 point lead. Once the game went to overtime, I had a smile on my face.
The rest of Bet #1 includes the Vikings, who should beat the Browns straight up, at +8.5, the Jets, who have never lost to the Texans, at +18 and the Redskins, who I rarely bet on, at +19.5. I make an exception for the Skins here because even if they play terrible (like they did in the opener last year when they lost by 9), they have a good enough defense to keep the game within a touchdown or two.
Bet #2 includes the heavily favored Ravens, Saints, and Seahawks and moves the point spreads to more reasonable numbers. All three of these teams should be able to handle their opponent easily but why count on a blow out when you have the option lower the risk.
The last three bets all include Cincinnati and Seattle. Carson Palmer is healthy and is no less than one thousand times better than Kyle Orton. Palmer will carve up Denver’s defense and will be the difference in the game. Seattle has gone though a coaching change, but has also got a healthy team again after suffering the loss of Hasselbeck, their entire starting offensive line and seven wide receivers in 2008. How they still won 4 games last year is a mystery. Wait… maybe it’s not… 2 of the 4 wins came from… you guessed it, the St. Louis Rams, who they open up against in Week 1.
Bet #3 looks to shoot the moon in a 7 team parlay. Basically this is my “would be nice if it happened” bet. The Dolphins are better than advertised and could give the Falcons fits in the Georgia Dome. The Jags split with the Colts last year where both games were decided by 7 points or less. San Diego gets to play the lowly Raiders and we’ve already talked about the Jets and the Vikings.
Bets #4 and #5 both include teams we’ve already talked about, just wagered on in different forms to cover a straight up or money line bet with a point spread or vice versa. None of these bets counter another bet. They only enhance the action in my favor.
Bet #1: 4 Team Sweetheart Teaser
- Pittsburgh Steelers +6½ Thu@8:30p
Competitor: Tennessee Titans
Teased 13.0 points
- Minnesota Vikings +8½ Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Cleveland Browns
Teased 13.0 points
- New York Jets +18 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Houston Texans
Teased 13.0 points
- Washington Redskins +19½ Sun@4:15p
Competitor: New York Giants
Teased 13.0 points
Bet #2: 4 Team Sweetheart Teaser
- Pittsburgh Steelers +6½ Thu@8:30p
Competitor: Tennessee Titans
Teased 13.0 points
- Baltimore Ravens Pick Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Kansas City Chiefs
Teased 13.0 points
- New Orleans Saints -½ Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Detroit Lions
Teased 13.0 points
- Seattle Seahawks +4½ Sun@4:15p
Competitor: St. Louis Rams
Teased 13.0 points
Bet #3: 7 Team Parlay
- Miami Dolphins +4 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Atlanta Falcons
- Cincinnati Bengals -235 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Denver Broncos
- Minnesota Vikings -210 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Cleveland Browns
- New York Jets +5 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars +7 (-120) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Indianapolis Colts
- Seattle Seahawks -400 Sun@4:15p
Competitor: St. Louis Rams
- San Diego Chargers -600 Mon@10:15p
Competitor: Oakland Raiders
Bet #4: 3 Team Parlay
- Cincinnati Bengals -235 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Denver Broncos
- Minnesota Vikings -210 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Cleveland Browns
- Seattle Seahawks -400 Sun@4:15p
Competitor: St. Louis Rams
Bet #5: 5 Team Teaser
- Cincinnati Bengals +2 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Denver Broncos
Teased 7.0 points
- New Orleans Saints -7 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: Detroit Lions
Teased 7.0 points
- Seattle Seahawks -1 Sun@4:15p
Competitor: St. Louis Rams
Teased 7.0 points
- New England Patriots -4 Mon@7:00p
Competitor: Buffalo Bills
Teased 7.0 points
- San Diego Chargers -3 Mon@10:15p
Competitor: Oakland Raiders
Teased 7.0 points
NFL Picks: Week 1
'NFL Picks' is a recurring segment where the D.C. Sports Guys will choose the winner of each NFL game for the current week
Week 1 of the NFL is upon us and all of the guys have gotten their picks in for the start of the season. Who will prevail and carry bragging rights into week 2?
Week 1 of the NFL is upon us and all of the guys have gotten their picks in for the start of the season. Who will prevail and carry bragging rights into week 2?
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The D.C. Sports Guys 9-8-2009
LETS GET READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL!
Kevin, T.J., and Big J. sit down to talk about football, some more football, and then even a little bit more football. With baseball winding down, and basketball and hockey yet to start is there really anything else to talk about? The guys eventually do talk about the start to NHL camps, the U.S. Open and T.J. even slips in a mention of soccer, but let be honest, between college and the NFL seasons ramping up there is really only one sport to talk about right now.
As always, send your comments, suggestions, or ideas to mailbag@dcsportsguys.com
Podcast Times for Audio and Video
Intro
Redskins (Roster, Tickets): 00:01:30
Redskins vs. Giants / NFL Breakdown: 00:45:25
College Football: 01:41:00
Hockey/Tennis/Juicy's next fight: 02:13:10
End
Kevin, T.J., and Big J. sit down to talk about football, some more football, and then even a little bit more football. With baseball winding down, and basketball and hockey yet to start is there really anything else to talk about? The guys eventually do talk about the start to NHL camps, the U.S. Open and T.J. even slips in a mention of soccer, but let be honest, between college and the NFL seasons ramping up there is really only one sport to talk about right now.
As always, send your comments, suggestions, or ideas to mailbag@dcsportsguys.com
Podcast Times for Audio and Video
Intro
Redskins (Roster, Tickets): 00:01:30
Redskins vs. Giants / NFL Breakdown: 00:45:25
College Football: 01:41:00
Hockey/Tennis/Juicy's next fight: 02:13:10
End
Video
LIVE D.C. Sports Guys 9/8 at 7:30pm
Go to http://www.dcsportsguys.com to watch The D.C. Sports Guys LIVE Tuesday, September 8, at 7:30pm. Before the show send an email to mailbag@dcsportsguys.com with any questions, comments or topics you would like the guys to discuss.
Participate with the D.C. Sports Guys during the show with the Pingbox web application. Using any browser that supports flash, listeners will be able to have a one on one chat with the guys during the show. This is a two way form of communication that requires no sign-up or accounts to use. Simply go to http://www.dcsportsguys.com during the LIVE show and the chat box will be located below both the video and audio only feeds. Just enter your name and message and the chat will begin.
The D.C. Sports Guys want to hear what you have to say!
Participate with the D.C. Sports Guys during the show with the Pingbox web application. Using any browser that supports flash, listeners will be able to have a one on one chat with the guys during the show. This is a two way form of communication that requires no sign-up or accounts to use. Simply go to http://www.dcsportsguys.com during the LIVE show and the chat box will be located below both the video and audio only feeds. Just enter your name and message and the chat will begin.
The D.C. Sports Guys want to hear what you have to say!
Shut Up O's Fans
I've had just about enough of stupid Orioles fans. I can't read one more rant from some idiot commenter on an Orioles Blog (School of Roch, the Schmuck Stops Here) about how this team will never compete and how they are, as one commenter put it, "falling deeper and deeper into the abyss." WHAT? Have you been paying attention to anything that has gone on in the past two years?
I'd like to think this is just fans overreacting to another bad loss to the Yankees. But really, this sentiment has been building throughout the season, and this series has just brought it to a head. Yes, the Yankees swept the Orioles. But what did you think would happen? Any sane person, with his expectations in line, would not be able to get this upset. Instead, its fire Trembley, fire McPhail, Matt Weiters is a bust, Brian Roberts has mailed it in, the young pitchers will never develop, trade Adam Jones.... Hold on people! This year was never about winning. As much as you want it to be, it's not.
Now I know this upsets many of you. You expect the Orioles to win the World Series every year. You blame Andy McPhail for not doing enough in the off season. Short of signing every available free agent, this team was not going to the playoffs. "But hold on!," you say. "Why can't we sign every free agent out there!?" Because, dumbass! It's not economically feasible. Nor is it even possible. Not every free agent wants to play here. If even if Peter Angelos drops the astronomical sums of money on old, washed up, and injury prone players (Ben Sheets anyone?) that you want him to, the Yankees and Red Sox will just out spend him. The only way to compete in the AL East is through the process that Andy McPhail has begun.
That means passing on crap free agents and reinvesting that money in scouting, player development, and draft picks. It means dropping $1M on a 27th round high school pitcher to keep him from going to college. It means expanding international scouting (signing Japanese pitchers, new academy in the Dominican Republic). It means locking up young players to long term, affordable contracts. It means dumping dead weight that won't help the team in the future and turning it around for young players. So goodbye Erik Bedard, Miguel Tejeda, Ramon Hernandez, and Aubrey Huff. And no, idiots, not every player obtained in these trades is going to turn out to be a star. And to think so is ludicrous. But yet, some of you think that! I know you do.
So while you're out there screaming your head off about another loss to the Yankees, I'll be enjoying a strong outing by Jason Berken, another HR from Nolan Reimold, and more hot hitting from Felix Pie. And when the Orioles finally turn it around, and they will, I'll enjoy it even more because I didn't make myself miserable getting angry about things that were never going to happen.
Now all that being said, God, I hate the f@#%ing Yankees.
I'd like to think this is just fans overreacting to another bad loss to the Yankees. But really, this sentiment has been building throughout the season, and this series has just brought it to a head. Yes, the Yankees swept the Orioles. But what did you think would happen? Any sane person, with his expectations in line, would not be able to get this upset. Instead, its fire Trembley, fire McPhail, Matt Weiters is a bust, Brian Roberts has mailed it in, the young pitchers will never develop, trade Adam Jones.... Hold on people! This year was never about winning. As much as you want it to be, it's not.
Now I know this upsets many of you. You expect the Orioles to win the World Series every year. You blame Andy McPhail for not doing enough in the off season. Short of signing every available free agent, this team was not going to the playoffs. "But hold on!," you say. "Why can't we sign every free agent out there!?" Because, dumbass! It's not economically feasible. Nor is it even possible. Not every free agent wants to play here. If even if Peter Angelos drops the astronomical sums of money on old, washed up, and injury prone players (Ben Sheets anyone?) that you want him to, the Yankees and Red Sox will just out spend him. The only way to compete in the AL East is through the process that Andy McPhail has begun.
That means passing on crap free agents and reinvesting that money in scouting, player development, and draft picks. It means dropping $1M on a 27th round high school pitcher to keep him from going to college. It means expanding international scouting (signing Japanese pitchers, new academy in the Dominican Republic). It means locking up young players to long term, affordable contracts. It means dumping dead weight that won't help the team in the future and turning it around for young players. So goodbye Erik Bedard, Miguel Tejeda, Ramon Hernandez, and Aubrey Huff. And no, idiots, not every player obtained in these trades is going to turn out to be a star. And to think so is ludicrous. But yet, some of you think that! I know you do.
So while you're out there screaming your head off about another loss to the Yankees, I'll be enjoying a strong outing by Jason Berken, another HR from Nolan Reimold, and more hot hitting from Felix Pie. And when the Orioles finally turn it around, and they will, I'll enjoy it even more because I didn't make myself miserable getting angry about things that were never going to happen.
Now all that being said, God, I hate the f@#%ing Yankees.
The D.C. Sports Guys 9-1-2009
Kevin, T.J., and the Wolfman have a lot to talk about during the longest D.C. Sports Guys show ever. The NFL dominates the opening of the show as the regular season is almost upon us. The guys also look back at UFC 102, talk some hockey, basketball and college sports.
As always, send your comments, suggestions, or ideas to mailbag@dcsportsguys.com
Podcast Times for Audio and Video
Intro
Redskins: 00:01:30
NFL: 00:41:50
UFC 102: 01:21:40
Caps/Hockey: 01:46:40
Wizards/NBA/College BB: 02:06:10
Bolt/Versus/Other News: 02:18:20
End
As always, send your comments, suggestions, or ideas to mailbag@dcsportsguys.com
Podcast Times for Audio and Video
Intro
Redskins: 00:01:30
NFL: 00:41:50
UFC 102: 01:21:40
Caps/Hockey: 01:46:40
Wizards/NBA/College BB: 02:06:10
Bolt/Versus/Other News: 02:18:20
End
Video
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